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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
32.47% ( -0.03) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 41.38% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% ( -0.03) | 51.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% ( -0.03) | 73.2% ( 0.03) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( -0.04) | 29.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( -0.05) | 65.77% ( 0.05) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% | 24.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.97% | 59.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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