Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham3 - 4Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Southampton
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Southampton
Birmingham are weaker without manager Mowbray in the dugout, but Blues always make a good fight of it against the division's biggest teams at St Andrew's. Southampton desperately need a positive result to get back on track for automatic promotion, and we believe that the Saints will narrowly get over the line in the Second City. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Southampton |
31.87% ( -0.3) | 24.6% ( -0.01) | 43.53% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
