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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Millwall logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Millwall

Adams (34')
Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tanganga (5'), Flemming (44' pen.)
Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Millwall

With Millwall starting a new phase another a different manager, they may play with a sense of freedom at St Mary's. Nevertheless, this is the ideal fixture for the Saints to get back on track, and it leads us to predict a dominant win for Martin's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.27%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
66.25% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.38% (-0.236 -0.24) 14.35% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.46 0.46)41.59% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.465 0.46)63.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.279 0.28)11.69% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (0.596 0.6)36.78% (-0.597 -0.6)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78% (-0.121 -0.12)41.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25% (-0.105 -0.11)77.74% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 66.25%
    Millwall 14.36%
    Draw 19.38%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.065 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.26% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.25%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton
80.0%
Draw
12.0%
Millwall
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
0-1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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