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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Coventry City.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
54.13% ( 0.33) | 24.92% ( -0.15) | 20.95% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( 0.35) | 54.2% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.4% ( 0.29) | 75.6% ( -0.29) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( 0.27) | 19.99% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( 0.43) | 52.17% ( -0.43) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( 0.01) | 40.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( 0.01) | 77.34% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.13% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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