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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
26.25% (0.168 0.17) 24.5% (-0.055 -0.05) 49.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.365 0.37)47.66% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.337 0.34)69.85% (-0.337 -0.34)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.33 0.33)32.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.37 0.37)68.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.4% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.157 0.16)51.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 26.25%
    Middlesbrough 49.24%
    Draw 24.5%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
52.2%
Draw
13.0%
Middlesbrough
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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