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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
West Brom

Rogers (40')
Howson (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

In theory, Middlesbrough should be full of confidence following their EFL Cup success on Tuesday, but a fresh wave of injury concerns threaten to hinder the hosts this weekend. West Brom have not been at their best since the 2-0 win over Ipswich Town last month, although the Baggies should be good enough for a point at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 26.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (-0.146 -0.15)50.42% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.128 -0.13)72.35% (0.127 0.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)25.29% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)60.06% (0.052 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.123 -0.12)27.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.156 -0.16)63.31% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.84%
    Draw 26.02%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
32.7%
Draw
36.7%
West Bromwich Albion
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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