Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

This has all the makings of an intriguing contest, the assumption being that Middlesbrough will prevail and perhaps undermining the impact that Manning could have had over the past two weeks. We still think Boro will win, but in a close game that is decided by a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Middlesbrough
29.64% ( -0.07)	24.33% ( 0)	46.03% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

-0.03)

44.69% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.03)

67.05% (

0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.06)

28.26% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

-0.07)

63.97% (

0.08)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

0.02)

19.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

0.02)

51.45% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 29.64%

Middlesbrough 46.03%

Draw 24.33%

Bristol City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.64%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.03%