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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

This has all the makings of an intriguing contest, the assumption being that Middlesbrough will prevail and perhaps undermining the impact that Manning could have had over the past two weeks. We still think Boro will win, but in a close game that is decided by a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.64% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 46.03% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)28.26% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)63.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.55% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.64%
    Middlesbrough 46.03%
    Draw 24.33%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.03%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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