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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.34% ( 0.01) | 23.53% ( -0) | 22.13% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% ( 0.01) | 47.35% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( 0.02) | 69.57% ( -0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% ( 0.01) | 17.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.3% ( 0.01) | 47.69% ( -0.02) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.28% ( 0) | 35.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.51% ( 0) | 72.48% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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