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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough will be hoping their positive momentum can be carried over from before the international break, and Carrick's men should be confident of recording a sixth straight win in all competitions. Armed with a new manager and fresh ideas, Birmingham's performance at the Riverside Stadium will be under intense scrutiny, and we believe that Rooney will earn a respectable point from his first match in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
54.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.48% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.33%
    Birmingham City 22.13%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
Draw
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')
Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Burnley382115252114178
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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