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Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Birmingham City

Norwich produced a promising performance at Craven Cottage despite bowing out of the EFL Cup, but the Canaries will still need to start brightly on Saturday to erase memories of their capitulation against Plymouth last weekend. Birmingham face three matches in the space of seven days as they battle with an ongoing injury crisis, although with a week's break under their belts, Eustace's men should be able to collect a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
49.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.44%
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.59% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.79% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.59%
    Birmingham City 24.44%
    Draw 25.97%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Birmingham City
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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