We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
Birmingham have started the campaign in promising fashion, but injuries to Dembele and Laird are set to make earning a maximum significantly harder this weekend.
Plymouth may be looking to set their sights higher than just Championship safety this term, and we expect the Green Army to return to Devon with a point on Saturday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.