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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Birmingham City |
42.53% ( 3.68) | 27.09% ( -0.37) | 30.38% ( -3.31) |
Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( 0.56) | 55.79% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.08% ( 0.45) | 76.92% ( -0.45) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( 2.27) | 25.94% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.05% ( 2.97) | 60.95% ( -2.97) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( -2.02) | 33.42% ( 2.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( -2.28) | 70.05% ( 2.28) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.8) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.74) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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