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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Birmingham logo

Preston
0 - 1
Birmingham


Evans (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Preston North End 2-0 Birmingham City

With Birmingham making some eye-catching signings, they may eventually move themselves away from trouble. However, we cannot back against Preston, who we expect to claim a second win and eighth clean sheet in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
52.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 25.91% (-0.354 -0.35) 21.66% (0.408 0.41)
Both teams to score 45.6% (1.427 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (1.61 1.61)57.04% (-1.607 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (1.271 1.27)77.93% (-1.267 -1.27)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.65000000000001 0.65)21.84% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.98 0.98)55.06% (-0.978 -0.98)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (1.352 1.35)41.66% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86% (1.164 1.16)78.13% (-1.161 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 52.43%
    Birmingham City 21.66%
    Draw 25.91%
Preston North EndDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.84% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 52.43%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.574 -0.57)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.205 0.21)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.169 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Preston vs Birmingham

Preston North End
72.7%
Draw
27.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Preston

Bela (45+1')

Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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