We said: Watford 1-1 Birmingham City
Watford have a flawless record at Vicarage Road against Birmingham over recent times, but the Hornets are facing a Blues side full of confidence after an unbeaten start.
Eustace has demanded that his men are competitive in Hertfordshire on the weekend, and we are expecting that a battling performance from the visitors will be enough to force a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.