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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
0 - 4
Middlesbrough


Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough

Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
33.31% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.03% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)44.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)25.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)60.91% (0.07 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.27% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 33.31%
    Middlesbrough 42.03%
    Draw 24.66%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Middlesbrough
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Stoke CityStoke520336-36
14Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
15Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
17Bristol City5122611-55
18Millwall51138804
19Luton TownLuton511337-44
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
21Preston North EndPreston511339-64
22Hull City503226-43
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


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