Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland0 - 4Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough
Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.31% ( -0.09) | 24.66% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( 0.01) | 67.05% ( -0.01) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( -0.05) | 25.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.07) | 60.91% ( 0.07) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 0.05) | 21.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.73% ( 0.08) | 54.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Sunderland 33.31%
Middlesbrough 42.03%
Draw 24.66%
| Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.03% |
How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough
Sunderland
70.0%Draw
10.0%Middlesbrough
20.0%10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Form Guide
