We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers are bound to have some renewed optimism, having bounced back from a tough start to the campaign with a hard-fought win before the break, but Ainsworth's men do lack some of the quality that Saturday's visitors possess, and we see the Black Cats going from strength to strength with another three-point haul.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.