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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Sunderland |
27.21% ( 0.01) | 24.96% ( 0.01) | 47.83% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -0.03) | 48.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( -0.03) | 70.98% ( 0.03) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% ( -0.01) | 32.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.31% ( -0.01) | 68.68% ( 0.01) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.03) | 52.95% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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