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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
QPR


Greenwood (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dozzell (43'), Colback (71')
Colback (50'), Chair (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With the pressure ramping up on both managers, this feels like an important fixture for differing reasons. While we think that QPR will give a good account of themselves, we are backing Boro to get off the mark in their wins tally, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.53% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.43%
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.004999999999999 0)70.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)46.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.52%
    Queens Park Rangers 19.43%
    Draw 23.03%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
9.5%
Queens Park Rangers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
3-1
QPR
Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Chair (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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