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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
47.93% ( 1.85) | 25.45% ( -0.38) | 26.62% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( 0.62) | 51.32% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( 0.54) | 73.14% ( -0.54) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( 1.09) | 21.42% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.57% ( 1.66) | 54.43% ( -1.65) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( -0.83) | 33.95% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( -0.91) | 70.62% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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