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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
33.92% ( -0.54) | 24.79% ( 0.12) | 41.29% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( -0.69) | 45.1% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( -0.66) | 67.45% ( 0.66) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% ( -0.64) | 25.75% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% ( -0.87) | 60.68% ( 0.87) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.1) | 21.84% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.15) | 55.07% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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