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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Middlesbrough

With Plymouth having impressed at home, they will back themselves to get the better of their opponents who may be fatigued. Nevertheless, we feel that Boro's superior quality will ultimately shine through, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.89% (-0.087 -0.09) 56.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (0.434 0.43)35.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (0.482 0.48)57.29% (-0.486 -0.49)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)28.9% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.322 0.32)64.77% (-0.327 -0.33)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.15599999999999 0.16)12.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.334 0.33)38.16% (-0.338 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.17%
    Middlesbrough 56.93%
    Draw 20.89%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.17%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.93%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
45.5%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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