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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Middlesbrough

With Plymouth having impressed at home, they will back themselves to get the better of their opponents who may be fatigued. Nevertheless, we feel that Boro's superior quality will ultimately shine through, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.89% (-0.087 -0.09) 56.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (0.434 0.43)35.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (0.482 0.48)57.29% (-0.486 -0.49)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)28.9% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.322 0.32)64.77% (-0.327 -0.33)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.15599999999999 0.16)12.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.334 0.33)38.16% (-0.338 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.17%
    Middlesbrough 56.93%
    Draw 20.89%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.17%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.93%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Middlesbrough
Plymouth Argyle
45.5%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5Bristol City38141594941857
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
7Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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