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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
66.4% ( -0.04) | 18.05% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.47% ( 0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.82% ( 0.04) | 54.18% ( -0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% | 9.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.03% | 30.96% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( 0.06) | 33.9% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( 0.07) | 70.57% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 4.97% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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