MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:53:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich


Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Leicester
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Championship

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-2 Ipswich Town

 It may have been nearly 16 years since Ipswich last got the better of Southampton in a competitive fixture, but Russell cannot fix the Saints' horrendous defensive play overnight, and such frailties should prove fatal once again. Ipswich are hardly consistent at the back themselves, but McKenna's in-form troops have conceded just one goal on the road so far and were unlucky not to put Wednesday to the sword by more goals at the weekend, so another Tractor Boys success is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
20.29% (-2.613 -2.61) 21.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 57.98% (2.521 2.52)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-4.262 -4.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (-3.835 -3.84)41.75% (3.837 3.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (-3.982 -3.98)64.15% (3.984 3.98)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-4.557 -4.56)34.32% (4.56 4.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-5.194 -5.19)71.02% (5.195 5.2)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.496 -0.5)14.14% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.979 -0.98)41.8% (0.981 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 20.29%
    Ipswich Town 57.98%
    Draw 21.72%
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.497 -0.5)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.606 -0.61)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.792 0.79)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 9.49% (1.404 1.4)
0-2 @ 9.28% (1.229 1.23)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.706 0.71)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.298 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.98%

How you voted: Southampton vs Ipswich

Southampton
26.4%
Draw
7.5%
Ipswich Town
66.0%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
Third Round
Ipswich
0-1
Southampton
Long (19')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2015 3pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
Lambert (74')
Harding (87')

Murphy (68')
> Match Report
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-5
Southampton
Andrews (56'), Emmanuel-Thomas (61')
Delaney (35'), Chopra (81')
Lambert (4', 11'), Connolly (42'), Lallana (76', 90')
Richardson (81')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Ipswich
0-3
Southampton
Euell (30', 85')
Gillett (36'), Schneiderlin (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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