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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich


Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-2 Ipswich Town

It may have been nearly 16 years since Ipswich last got the better of Southampton in a competitive fixture, but Russell cannot fix the Saints' horrendous defensive play overnight, and such frailties should prove fatal once again. Ipswich are hardly consistent at the back themselves, but McKenna's in-form troops have conceded just one goal on the road so far and were unlucky not to put Wednesday to the sword by more goals at the weekend, so another Tractor Boys success is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
20.29% (-2.613 -2.61) 21.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 57.98% (2.521 2.52)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-4.262 -4.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (-3.835 -3.84)41.75% (3.837 3.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (-3.982 -3.98)64.15% (3.984 3.98)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-4.557 -4.56)34.32% (4.56 4.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-5.194 -5.19)71.02% (5.195 5.2)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.496 -0.5)14.14% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.979 -0.98)41.8% (0.981 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 20.29%
    Ipswich Town 57.98%
    Draw 21.72%
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.497 -0.5)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.606 -0.61)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.792 0.79)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 9.49% (1.404 1.4)
0-2 @ 9.28% (1.229 1.23)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.706 0.71)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.298 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.98%

How you voted: Southampton vs Ipswich

Southampton
26.4%
Draw
7.5%
Ipswich Town
66.0%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
Jan 4, 2015 3pm
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-5
Southampton
Andrews (56'), Emmanuel-Thomas (61')
Delaney (35'), Chopra (81')
Lambert (4', 11'), Connolly (42'), Lallana (76', 90')
Richardson (81')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
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22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
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24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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