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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Blackburn logo

Ipswich
4 - 3
Blackburn

Clarke (4'), Broadhead (18'), Hirst (25'), Luongo (79')
Morsy (48'), Hirst (59'), Chaplin (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sigurdsson (9'), Clarke (52' og.), Szmodics (65')
Moran (31'), Sigurdsson (40'), Carter (62'), Travis (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn have shown this season that they are capable of winning against the odds and losing when they are favourites. Nevertheless, despite their underdog status heading into this fixture, we cannot look beyond Ipswich posting another maximum haul and extending their outstanding start to 2023-24. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.75% (1.571 1.57) 23.57% (0.273 0.27) 29.68% (-1.845 -1.85)
Both teams to score 60.4% (-2.062 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-2.257 -2.26)41.16% (2.257 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-2.338 -2.34)63.55% (2.336 2.34)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.265 -0.27)17.85% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.457 -0.46)48.61% (0.456 0.46)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-2.268 -2.27)26.46% (2.268 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (-3.115 -3.12)61.64% (3.115 3.12)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 46.75%
    Blackburn Rovers 29.68%
    Draw 23.57%
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.203 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.743 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.586 0.59)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.68%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Blackburn

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Blackburn Rovers
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
2-0
Ipswich
Graham (65' pen.), Nuttall (74')
Lenihan (69'), Nuttall (76')

Chambers (64')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ipswich
2-2
Blackburn
Edwards (5'), Edun (90')
Harrison (35'), Chambers (73')
Graham (20'), Dack (29')
Bennett (53'), Lenihan (88'), Smallwood (90')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Blackburn
Lawrence (38', 57'), Berra (54')
Lawrence (42'), Dozzell (65')
Akpan (43'), Graham (74' pen.)
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-0
Blackburn
Murphy (67' pen., 87')
Hyam (63'), Douglas (77')

Evans (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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