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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
46.75% ( 1.57) | 23.57% ( 0.27) | 29.68% ( -1.85) |
Both teams to score 60.4% ( -2.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( -2.26) | 41.16% ( 2.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -2.34) | 63.55% ( 2.34) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% ( -0.27) | 17.85% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% ( -0.46) | 48.61% ( 0.46) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( -2.27) | 26.46% ( 2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% ( -3.12) | 61.64% ( 3.12) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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