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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Blackburn logo

Ipswich
4 - 3
Blackburn

Clarke (4'), Broadhead (18'), Hirst (25'), Luongo (79')
Morsy (48'), Hirst (59'), Chaplin (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sigurdsson (9'), Clarke (52' og.), Szmodics (65')
Moran (31'), Sigurdsson (40'), Carter (62'), Travis (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn have shown this season that they are capable of winning against the odds and losing when they are favourites. Nevertheless, despite their underdog status heading into this fixture, we cannot look beyond Ipswich posting another maximum haul and extending their outstanding start to 2023-24. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.75% (1.571 1.57) 23.57% (0.273 0.27) 29.68% (-1.845 -1.85)
Both teams to score 60.4% (-2.062 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-2.257 -2.26)41.16% (2.257 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-2.338 -2.34)63.55% (2.336 2.34)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.265 -0.27)17.85% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.457 -0.46)48.61% (0.456 0.46)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-2.268 -2.27)26.46% (2.268 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (-3.115 -3.12)61.64% (3.115 3.12)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 46.75%
    Blackburn Rovers 29.68%
    Draw 23.57%
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.203 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.743 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.586 0.59)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.68%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Blackburn

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Blackburn Rovers
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
2-0
Ipswich
Graham (65' pen.), Nuttall (74')
Lenihan (69'), Nuttall (76')

Chambers (64')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ipswich
2-2
Blackburn
Edwards (5'), Edun (90')
Harrison (35'), Chambers (73')
Graham (20'), Dack (29')
Bennett (53'), Lenihan (88'), Smallwood (90')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Blackburn
Lawrence (38', 57'), Berra (54')
Lawrence (42'), Dozzell (65')
Akpan (43'), Graham (74' pen.)
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-0
Blackburn
Murphy (67' pen., 87')
Hyam (63'), Douglas (77')

Evans (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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