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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Blackburn logo

Ipswich
4 - 3
Blackburn

Clarke (4'), Broadhead (18'), Hirst (25'), Luongo (79')
Morsy (48'), Hirst (59'), Chaplin (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sigurdsson (9'), Clarke (52' og.), Szmodics (65')
Moran (31'), Sigurdsson (40'), Carter (62'), Travis (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn have shown this season that they are capable of winning against the odds and losing when they are favourites. Nevertheless, despite their underdog status heading into this fixture, we cannot look beyond Ipswich posting another maximum haul and extending their outstanding start to 2023-24. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.75% (1.571 1.57) 23.57% (0.273 0.27) 29.68% (-1.845 -1.85)
Both teams to score 60.4% (-2.062 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-2.257 -2.26)41.16% (2.257 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-2.338 -2.34)63.55% (2.336 2.34)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.265 -0.27)17.85% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.457 -0.46)48.61% (0.456 0.46)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-2.268 -2.27)26.46% (2.268 2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (-3.115 -3.12)61.64% (3.115 3.12)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 46.75%
    Blackburn Rovers 29.68%
    Draw 23.57%
Ipswich TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.203 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.743 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.586 0.59)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.68%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Blackburn

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Blackburn Rovers
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
2-0
Ipswich
Graham (65' pen.), Nuttall (74')
Lenihan (69'), Nuttall (76')

Chambers (64')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ipswich
2-2
Blackburn
Edwards (5'), Edun (90')
Harrison (35'), Chambers (73')
Graham (20'), Dack (29')
Bennett (53'), Lenihan (88'), Smallwood (90')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Blackburn
Lawrence (38', 57'), Berra (54')
Lawrence (42'), Dozzell (65')
Akpan (43'), Graham (74' pen.)
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-0
Blackburn
Murphy (67' pen., 87')
Hyam (63'), Douglas (77')

Evans (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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