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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
59.54% ( -0.17) | 21.12% ( 0.03) | 19.34% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.64% ( 0.08) | 40.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.26% ( 0.08) | 62.74% ( -0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.78% ( -0.02) | 13.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.04% ( -0.05) | 39.96% ( 0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( 0.19) | 34.47% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( 0.2) | 71.19% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.54% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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