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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.56% (0.226 0.23) 24.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 39.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 57.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)67.85% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.116 0.12)59.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)22.9% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.253 -0.25)56.66% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.56%
    Middlesbrough 39.49%
    Draw 24.94%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
12.0%
Middlesbrough
56.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich

Ayala (33'), Obi Mikel (49'), Downing (66')
Hernandez (54')
Stiepermann (42'), Zimmermann (48'), Hernandez (54'), Trybull (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Steelers
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Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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