Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 3
Leeds

Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Leeds United
43.08%	24.84% ( 0)	32.08% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1% (

45.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79% (

68.21%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

21.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

54.3%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

62.69%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 43.08%

Leeds United 32.08%

Draw 24.83%

Norwich City	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.08%	1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.08%