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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
2 - 3
Leeds

Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
43.08%24.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.21%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.3%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.08%
    Leeds United 32.08%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
24.0%
Leeds United
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Leeds
Hoolahan (45'), Murphy (70')
Hanley (33')
Phillips (39')
Pennington (43'), Jansson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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