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Norwich logo
Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 at 2pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Leeds

Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')

Preview: Norwich City vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Norwich City's search for their first victory of the 2021-22 Premier League season will continue on Sunday afternoon when they welcome fellow strugglers Leeds United to Carrow Road.

The Canaries are rock bottom of the table, having picked up just two points from their opening nine matches, while Leeds sit 17th with just seven points to show from their first nine games of the campaign.


Match preview

Norwich City manager Daniel Farke reacts on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Too strong for the Championship but not good enough for the Premier League is an argument that continues to be put to Norwich, and it is difficult to argue against it considering what has occurred in the opening months of the 2021-22 campaign.

The Canaries have not been able to secure back-to-back seasons of top-flight football since 2012-13 and 2013-14, having dropped straight back into the Championship following their last two promotions, and it is difficult to imagine them breaking that pattern this term unless something drastic changes.

Norwich lost their opening six matches of the new Premier League season before picking up two points in back-to-back draws with Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion either side of the international break.

Daniel Farke's side were brought crashing back down to earth last weekend, though, as they suffered a 7-0 defeat at Chelsea, and there is simply no downplaying the importance of the clash with Leeds considering that both sides have found it difficult to perform in the opening months of the campaign.

Norwich have actually won four of their last six Premier League meetings with Leeds, suffering just one defeat in the process, although Sunday's contest will be the first top-flight clash between the two sides since May 1995, when Leeds ran out 2-1 winners to relegate the Canaries to the second tier.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Leeds, meanwhile, will enter Sunday's contest off the back of a 2-0 defeat to Arsenal in the last-16 stage of the EFL Cup on Tuesday night, with Calum Chambers and Eddie Nketiah on the scoresheet in North London.

The Whites played out a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League last weekend, meanwhile, with the result moving them onto seven points, which is only good enough for 17th at this stage.

Marcelo Bielsa's side were so impressive on their return to the top flight last season, ultimately finishing ninth, and it would be fair to say that there were high hopes surrounding the team ahead of the new campaign, but they have struggled to get going in the opening months.

A record of one win, four draws and four defeats has left them at the wrong end of the table, and finding the back of the net has been a problem this term, with the Whites netting just eight times in nine matches; only Burnley (seven) and Norwich (two) have a worse record at this stage.

Leeds have lost just one of their last five away league games against Norwich, though, and recorded a 3-0 victory over the Canaries when the pair last locked horns at Carrow Road in August 2018.

Norwich City Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Norwich City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Leeds United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Leeds United midfielder Kalvin Phillips pictured in October 2021© Reuters

Norwich will again be without the services of Christoph Zimmermann through injury, while Ben Gibson is suspended following his red card in the seven-goal defeat to Chelsea.

Billy Gilmour is available after being unable to take on his parent club last weekend, though, and it would not be a surprise to see the Scotland international come into the starting XI as part of a reshuffle.

Przemyslaw Placheta may be in the squad, and a potential switch to a 3-5-2 formation could see Brandon Williams and Milot Rashica come into the side, while Gibson's absence will open the door for Andrew Omobamidele to feature at the back.

Todd Cantwell and Sam Byram, though, will not be included in the squad.

As for Leeds, Bielsa revealed during Friday's press conference that Junior Firpo, Raphinha and Kalvin Phillips are all likely to be available for this weekend's contest, while Jamie Shackleton should also be fit.

However, Luke Ayling, Patrick Bamford and Robin Koch remain on the sidelines for the Whites, with Bielsa admitting that he is unsure when the trio will be available for selection once again.

Rodrigo is again expected to lead the line in Bamford's absence, while Daniel James and Jack Harrison could also both start, with the visitors likely to take the match to Norwich in search of three points.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Kabak, Hanley, Omobamidele; Aarons, Gilmour, Lees-Melou, Williams; Dowell, Pukki, Rashica

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Shackleton, Llorente, Cooper, Firpo; Raphinha, Phillips, Klich, Harrison; James; Rodrigo


SM words green background

We say: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds will have earmarked this match as the perfect chance to record their second league victory of the campaign, and we believe that the Whites will triumph. Norwich have found it difficult to compete in the top flight this term and could come up just short against Leeds at the end of a competitive match.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
18.9%
Draw
15.7%
Leeds United
65.4%
312
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Norwich City's Teemu Pukki celebrates scoring their first goal against Birmingham City in the Championship on February 23, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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