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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
40.68% ( -0.52) | 27.06% ( 0.89) | 32.26% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -2.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( -3.67) | 55.12% ( 3.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( -3.11) | 76.37% ( 3.11) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( -1.94) | 26.62% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( -2.65) | 61.85% ( 2.65) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -2.1) | 31.74% ( 2.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% ( -2.48) | 68.17% ( 2.48) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 1.14) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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