Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.