Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.