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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Millwall logo

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
53.97% (-1.704 -1.7) 24.35% (0.727 0.73) 21.68% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-1.802 -1.8)51.24% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-1.598 -1.6)73.07% (1.604 1.6)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-1.31 -1.31)18.91% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-2.233 -2.23)50.41% (2.239 2.24)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)38.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 53.96%
    Millwall 21.68%
    Draw 24.35%
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Leicester vs Millwall

Leicester City
82.8%
Draw
9.4%
Millwall
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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