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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Millwall logo

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
53.97% (-1.704 -1.7) 24.35% (0.727 0.73) 21.68% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-1.802 -1.8)51.24% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-1.598 -1.6)73.07% (1.604 1.6)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-1.31 -1.31)18.91% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-2.233 -2.23)50.41% (2.239 2.24)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)38.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 53.96%
    Millwall 21.68%
    Draw 24.35%
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Leicester vs Millwall

Leicester City
82.8%
Draw
9.4%
Millwall
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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