EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 2Leicester
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.35% | 26.07% | 45.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
