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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Watford logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Watford

Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Watford

With a bit of doubt creeping in at Leicester, Ismael and Watford will sense an opportunity. However, we feel that the home side can only have benefitted from the November international break, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
50.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 25.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.101 -0.1)51.74% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.087 -0.09)73.51% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.6% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)53.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)35.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 50.25%
    Watford 24.57%
    Draw 25.16%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%

How you voted: Leicester vs Watford

Leicester City
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Watford
3.2%
31
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Hull City613257-26
14Stoke CityStoke620449-56
15Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
16Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
18Bristol City5122611-55
19Millwall51138804
20Luton TownLuton511337-44
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
22Preston North EndPreston511339-64
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


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