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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Sunderland

Leicester
1 - 0
Sunderland

Justin (12')
Iheanacho (40'), Vestergaard (50'), Justin (67'), Pereira (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Nien (50'), Hume (54'), Cirkin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Sunderland

Sunderland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Leicester, but we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a home win here. The Foxes have so much quality all over the pitch and should have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
46.69% (0.567 0.57) 23.56% (-0.023 -0.02) 29.74% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (-0.198 -0.2)41.07% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.201 -0.2)63.46% (0.199 0.2)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.145 0.14)17.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.254 0.25)48.6% (-0.255 -0.25)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)26.38% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.605 -0.6)61.53% (0.603 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 46.69%
    Sunderland 29.75%
    Draw 23.56%
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Leicester vs Sunderland

Leicester City
87.0%
Draw
7.2%
Sunderland
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Leicester
Huth (64' og.), Defoe (77')
van Aanholt (68'), Larsson (72'), Djilobodji (78')
Okazaki (80')
Fuchs (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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