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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Sunderland

Leicester
1 - 0
Sunderland

Justin (12')
Iheanacho (40'), Vestergaard (50'), Justin (67'), Pereira (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Nien (50'), Hume (54'), Cirkin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Sunderland

 Sunderland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Leicester, but we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a home win here. The Foxes have so much quality all over the pitch and should have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
46.69% (0.567 0.57) 23.56% (-0.023 -0.02) 29.74% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (-0.198 -0.2)41.07% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.201 -0.2)63.46% (0.199 0.2)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.145 0.14)17.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.254 0.25)48.6% (-0.255 -0.25)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)26.38% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.605 -0.6)61.53% (0.603 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 46.69%
    Sunderland 29.75%
    Draw 23.56%
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Leicester vs Sunderland

Leicester City
87.0%
Draw
7.2%
Sunderland
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Leicester
2-0
Sunderland
Slimani (70'), Vardy (78')

Cattermole (35')
> Match Report
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Leicester
Huth (64' og.), Defoe (77')
van Aanholt (68'), Larsson (72'), Djilobodji (78')
Okazaki (80')
Fuchs (81')
> Match Report
Apr 10, 2016 1.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leicester
> Match Report
Aug 8, 2015 3pm
Leicester
4-2
Sunderland
> Match Report
May 16, 2015 3pm
Sunderland
0-0
Leicester
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311
> Championship Full Table


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