Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Leicester City 2-0 Stoke City
Leicester are quickly emerging as leading contenders for the Championship title, and they should be very confident of seeing off a wounded Stoke side at the King Power Stadium. The Potters' campaign will not be decided by what occurs in the East Midlands on Saturday afternoon, but we believe Neil's men will be unable to cope with the league leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.18% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.18) | 67.17% ( -0.19) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.03) | 20.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.04) | 53.52% ( 0.04) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.25) | 26.65% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.34) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2% |
