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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Stoke logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Stoke

Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Stoke City

Leicester are quickly emerging as leading contenders for the Championship title, and they should be very confident of seeing off a wounded Stoke side at the King Power Stadium. The Potters' campaign will not be decided by what occurs in the East Midlands on Saturday afternoon, but we believe Neil's men will be unable to cope with the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
43.18% (-0.236 -0.24) 24.61% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 32.2% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 58.06% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.191 0.19)44.81% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.183 0.18)67.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)20.84% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)53.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.252 0.25)26.65% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.335 0.34)61.89% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 43.18%
    Stoke City 32.2%
    Draw 24.61%
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.2%

How you voted: Leicester vs Stoke

Leicester City
89.5%
Draw
7.0%
Stoke City
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Ndidi (25'), Vardy (47')
Fuchs (60')

Shawcross (16'), Whelan (29'), Crouch (69'), Arnautovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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