MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:16:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Southampton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Southampton


Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Southampton

Despite both bouncing back from adversity with wins at the weekend, the two could cancel each other out here in a clash that is tough to call on paper. Southampton have also not enjoyed much success against Stoke recently, winning just one of their last seven meetings, and that run could well be extended here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
41.53% (-1.672 -1.67) 24.79% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 33.67% (1.587 1.59)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.094999999999999 0.09)45.19% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (0.090000000000003 0.09)67.53% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.738 -0.74)21.76% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (-1.137 -1.14)54.95% (1.139 1.14)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (1.02 1.02)25.94% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (1.354 1.35)60.94% (-1.354 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.53%
    Southampton 33.67%
    Draw 24.79%
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.67%

How you voted: Stoke vs Southampton

Stoke City
51.4%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Southampton
Biram Diouf (40'), Crouch (85')
Allen (30')
Yoshida (76')
Tadic (52'), Romeu (57')
May 21, 2017 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Boufal (70'), Stephens (90')
Crouch (60')
Allen (53'), Whelan (63'), Sobhi (67'), Shaqiri (90')
Dec 14, 2016 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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