Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 1
Southampton

Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Southampton

Despite both bouncing back from adversity with wins at the weekend, the two could cancel each other out here in a clash that is tough to call on paper. Southampton have also not enjoyed much success against Stoke recently, winning just one of their last seven meetings, and that run could well be extended here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Southampton
41.53% ( -1.67)	24.79% ( 0.09)	33.67% ( 1.59)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81% (

0.09)

45.19% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

0.09)

67.53% (

-0.09)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0.74)

21.76% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05% (

-1.14)

54.95% (

1.14)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

1.02)

25.94% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

1.35)

60.94% (

-1.35)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.53%

Southampton 33.67%

Draw 24.79%

Stoke City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.67%