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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Leicester City |
41.6% ( -0) | 23.75% ( -0) | 34.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.99% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( 0.02) | 40.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( 0.02) | 62.39% ( -0.02) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.01) | 19.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.01) | 51.45% ( -0.01) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( 0.01) | 22.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.26% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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