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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
2 - 2
Millwall

Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Millwall

Ismael will be confident that his side are more settled and capable of quickly becoming promotion contenders. Nevertheless, we are yet to see that kind of consistency from them, leading us to back a low-scoring draw between two well-match sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
41.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.25% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 31.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.22% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (0.075999999999993 0.08)56.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.062000000000001 0.06)77.16% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)26.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.94% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.022000000000006 0.02)32.86% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.023999999999997 0.02)69.43% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.38%
    Millwall 31.37%
    Draw 27.25%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Watford
1-0
Millwall
Sarr (11' pen.)

Muller (86')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Kieftenbeld (27'), Cooper (33')
Masina (45+1'), Cleverley (45+2'), Chalobah (56'), Sierralta (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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