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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Hull logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Hull City

Hull City will be keen to bounce back from Tuesday's defeat, while Millwall will have renewed positivity from their away win, but Rowett's men have not excelled on home turf this season, and we anticipate a share of the spoils at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
48.79% (0.358 0.36) 25.88% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.055 0.05)75.37% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.187 0.19)22.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.28 0.28)55.49% (-0.281 -0.28)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)36.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.213 -0.21)73.22% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.79%
    Hull City 25.33%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall
Draw
Hull City
Millwall
34.6%
Draw
46.2%
Hull City
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
Eaves (87')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')
Jul 11, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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