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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
48.79% ( 0.36) | 25.88% ( -0.07) | 25.32% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.09% ( 0.07) | 53.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( 0.05) | 75.37% ( -0.06) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.19) | 22.12% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( 0.28) | 55.49% ( -0.28) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( -0.21) | 36.44% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% ( -0.21) | 73.22% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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