Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 0Millwall
The Match
Match Report
Ismaila Sarr scored the penalty that earned the Hornets promotion back to the top flight.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 55.33% | 26.14% | 18.53% |
| Both teams to score 40.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% | 80.99% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% | 22.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.53% | 47.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.16% | 82.83% |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 55.32%
Millwall 18.53%
Draw 26.13%
| Watford | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 15.87% 2-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 4.45% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.53% |
How you voted: Watford vs Millwall
Watford
82.0%Draw
11.2%Millwall
6.7%89
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Nov 1, 2014 3pm
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
Form Guide
