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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo

Watford
1 - 0
Millwall

Sarr (11' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86')

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr scored the penalty that earned the Hornets promotion back to the top flight.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
55.33%26.14%18.53%
Both teams to score 40.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39%60.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01%80.99%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3%55.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.32%
    Millwall 18.53%
    Draw 26.13%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.87%
2-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 4.45%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
82.0%
Draw
11.2%
Millwall
6.7%
89
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Kieftenbeld (27'), Cooper (33')
Masina (45+1'), Cleverley (45+2'), Chalobah (56'), Sierralta (74')
Jan 29, 2017 12pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Morison (85')
Wallace (95')

Britos (66'), Mason (81'), Doucoure (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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