Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 1Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton
While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Southampton |
37.84% ( -0.01) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 36.58% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.03) | 48.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.03) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( -0.02) | 25.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.31% ( -0.03) | 59.69% ( 0.03) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.01) | 25.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( -0.02) | 60.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 37.84%
Southampton 36.58%
Draw 25.57%
| Millwall | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton
Millwall
7.1%Draw
21.4%Southampton
71.4%28
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Form Guide
