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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
34.39% ( -1.28) | 24.79% ( 0.3) | 40.82% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( -1.61) | 45% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( -1.57) | 67.36% ( 1.57) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -1.47) | 25.43% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( -2.07) | 60.24% ( 2.07) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( -0.22) | 22.03% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.65% ( -0.34) | 55.35% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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