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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
53.62% ( 0.74) | 24.55% ( -0.28) | 21.82% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0.62) | 51.86% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.53) | 73.62% ( -0.53) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.53) | 19.28% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% ( 0.87) | 51.02% ( -0.87) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.45% ( -0.11) | 38.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.7% ( -0.1) | 75.29% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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