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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
53.62% ( 0.74) | 24.55% ( -0.28) | 21.82% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0.62) | 51.86% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.53) | 73.62% ( -0.53) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.53) | 19.28% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% ( 0.87) | 51.02% ( -0.87) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.45% ( -0.11) | 38.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.7% ( -0.1) | 75.29% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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