Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham City
Southampton are beginning to show the form of a team fighting for a return to the Premier League, and the Saints should be confident of extending their unbeaten run against a Birmingham side who are still finding their feet with a new head coach at the helm. Blues' tricky run of fixtures continues on the South Coast on the weekend, and Southampton's crop of attacking players will need no invitation to take advantage of the visitors' defensive fragilities under Rooney. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Birmingham City |
46.21% ( 0.57) | 24.35% ( -0.22) | 29.44% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.79) | 44.87% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( 0.75) | 67.23% ( -0.75) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.56) | 19.54% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.55% ( 0.91) | 51.44% ( -0.91) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.16) | 28.49% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.74% ( 0.2) | 64.26% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.44% |
