We said: Coventry City 1-2 Leicester City
Coventry have managed some notable results against the division's big hitters in recent weeks, but the visit of Leicester on Saturday will be the ultimate test.
The Foxes are flying in the second tier, and although the trip to the CBS Arena should prove tricky, we expect Maresca's men to collect maximum points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.