Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Hull City
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
44.98% ( -0.02)	26.46% ( 0.01)	28.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.22% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

-0.02)

54.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-0.02)

75.57% (

0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

-0.02)

23.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

-0.02)

58.23% (

0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-0)

33.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 44.97%

Birmingham City 28.56%

Draw 26.45%

Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.56%