MX23RW : Friday, March 21 14:27:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.97%
    Birmingham City 28.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
Draw
Birmingham City
Stoke City
52.0%
Draw
20.0%
Birmingham City
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Birmingham
1-3
Stoke
Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')
Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
2-2
Birmingham
Campbell (25', 52')
James (12'), Gardner (58')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!