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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
23.3% ( 0.09) | 24.6% ( 0.08) | 52.1% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% ( -0.23) | 50.59% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.49% ( -0.21) | 72.51% ( 0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -0.05) | 36.42% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.05) | 73.21% ( 0.06) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.15) | 19.4% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( -0.25) | 51.21% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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