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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Sunderland

Rotherham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Clucas (48')
Nombe (65'), Cafu (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (73')
Bellingham (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 0-1 Sunderland

Rotherham rode their luck and then some against Middlesbrough, although credit where credit is due to the Millers' defensive diligence, and Sunderland did not exactly blow Hull away either. Another cruel injury blow to Dack was not on the Black Cats' bingo card either, and a goal-laden affair should be the last thing on the menu at the New York Stadium, but we still expect Beale to march to his second successive win and give Rotherham a harsh reality check. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
16.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 62.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 16.71%
    Sunderland 62.14%
    Draw 21.14%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.71%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.14%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Sunderland

Rotherham United
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Sunderland
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-1
Rotherham
Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
3-0
Rotherham
Stewart (52', 65'), Clarke (70')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sunderland
1-1
Rotherham
Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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