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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
39.55% ( -0.3) | 23.7% ( 0.05) | 36.75% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% ( -0.21) | 39.41% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% ( -0.23) | 61.75% ( 0.22) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( -0.23) | 20.22% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.46% ( -0.37) | 52.53% ( 0.37) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% ( 0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.34% ( 0.05) | 54.65% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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