Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.