MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 17:17:22| >> :60:32:32:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Alinja Arena

Athletico PR
vs.
Racing

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We say: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Racing Club

After such a convincing victory in their previous Copa Sudamericana affair, we believe Racing may be knocked down a peg against El Paranaense, who know what it is like to go deep into a competition like this and should provide much stiffer competition for the Argentines than Huachipato. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club has a probability of 28.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win is 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
45.12% (0.061 0.06) 26.21% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 28.67% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.25599999999999 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.327 0.33)53.14% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.277 0.28)74.71% (-0.271 -0.27)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.17200000000001 0.17)23.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.246 0.25)57.5% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.18900000000001 0.19)33.31% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.206 0.21)69.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.12%
    Racing Club 28.67%
    Draw 26.2%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.67%

Who will win Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico PR and Racing?

Athletico Paranaense
Draw
Racing Club
Athletico Paranaense
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Racing Club
9.1%
11
rhs 2.0
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